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Sunday, September 9, 2007

Chapter 66.4: Cracks in the Facade

It has begun. The conservatives and Republicans are starting to part from each other. What surprises me is that the Republicans in this story are becoming Democrats. Perhaps I shouldn't be surprised. While I think a third party may eventually emerge in American politics, it will only happen if there's a realistic chance for a candidate for president to take electoral votes -- i.e. to win a state. It's been a long time since that happened (George Wallace in 1968).

That's the main reason I don't think Michael Bloomberg will run; while he might be able to inject some interesting debate in the race, I don't think he can be a big enough spoiler to push the race into the House of Representatives.

But now we are seeing Republicans becoming Democrats in states where they have little support -- Missouri and Kansas. What does all this have to do with the 2008 presidential election? Probably nothing. But I think it will make the congressional races more interesting -- both in 2008 and 2010. And if we start to see more independents in Congress, then we might start seeing some interesting political highlights. Who knows, maybe C-SPAN would create a highlights show a la ESPN. Now that may be a sure sign of a coming apocalypse.

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