It has begun. The conservatives and Republicans are starting to part from each other. What surprises me is that the Republicans in this story are becoming Democrats. Perhaps I shouldn't be surprised. While I think a third party may eventually emerge in American politics, it will only happen if there's a realistic chance for a candidate for president to take electoral votes -- i.e. to win a state. It's been a long time since that happened (George Wallace in 1968).
That's the main reason I don't think Michael Bloomberg will run; while he might be able to inject some interesting debate in the race, I don't think he can be a big enough spoiler to push the race into the House of Representatives.
But now we are seeing Republicans becoming Democrats in states where they have little support -- Missouri and Kansas. What does all this have to do with the 2008 presidential election? Probably nothing. But I think it will make the congressional races more interesting -- both in 2008 and 2010. And if we start to see more independents in Congress, then we might start seeing some interesting political highlights. Who knows, maybe C-SPAN would create a highlights show a la ESPN. Now that may be a sure sign of a coming apocalypse.
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